ACCORDING TO STUDY FROM KUWAIT UNIVERSITY, HEAT-RELATED MORTALITY COULD RISE BY 15%

  • 10/08/2022

Kuwait City: By the end of the century, non-Kuwaiti migrant workers' deaths from heat-related causes could rise by almost 15%, according to a Kuwait University study. Additionally, according to a research letter on the environment written by Barrak Al-Ahmad from the Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, College of Public Health, Kuwait University, by the end of the century, 14 out of every 100 deaths in Kuwait may be related to heat-related factors. 


The report notes that it is unclear what effects climate change may have on communities and nations in the Arabian Peninsula's scorching desert environment. "Countries in this region have distinctive demographic profiles, not just because they are already hot, with migratory populations potentially more vulnerable and making up a significant portion of the population. In Kuwait, where migrant workers make up two-thirds of the population, record-breaking heat is already frequent. 

According to moderate (SSP2-4.5) and extreme (SSP5-8.5) climate change scenarios, the study assesses the burden of temperature-related mortality in Kuwait for the middle of the century (2050-2059) and the end of the century (2090-2099). In order to calculate the decadal temperature-mortality burdens under the two scenarios, we fitted time series distributed lag non-linear models to estimate the baseline temperature-mortality relationship. This relationship was then applied to future daily mean temperatures from the most recent climate models.

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